by Peter Löcke //
Forecasts and model calculations. For corona, the climate, war. In almost every relevant topic, the political decisions of the present are determined by looking into the crystal ball. In purely linguistic terms, most forecasts are fears and horror scenarios formulated in the subjunctive and future tense that justify "protective measures" in the present tense. According to a study. According to experts. Above all, according to science. According to the future fictions of one science. So it is science fiction.
With clever public relations, you can declare this science fiction to be the absolute truth. With clever PR, you can stigmatize any doubters and dissenters and defame them as deniers. Without measures, we would have one million more deaths in Germany. Without arms deliveries, Putin would be in Berlin in a year's time. Without the energy transition, there would be a climate catastrophe in 2050. That's in the script. That is a scientific fact. This science fiction is media-published reality. And now shut up, you denier!
Try proving that the globe won't burn in 25 years. You can't do that even with the best arguments. But you can do something else. You can hold your false prophecies from the past under the noses of the proclaimers of truth. With best regards to Corona-Karl, Climate-Kemfert or the dozens of military experts who were already wrong about Afghanistan. What else? You can take a look at the dystopias of the past millennium. You don't even have to go back to great literature, not to Aldous Huxley & George Orwell. You can also take a more mundane detour via Hollywood. Take a look at feature films in the science fiction genre from the 1980s and 1990s. Look for old films that take a look at the world we currently live in. You can do a real comparison here. A fact check.
Demolition Man from the year 1993! The superficial plot is boring and quickly told. There is a hero played by Sylvester Stallone and a villain played by Wesley Snipes. Frozen at a young age, the protagonists are thawed out in the year 2032. In this strange future, hero and villain fight each other again. In the end, the good guy wins. Just Hollywood.
More exciting than the plot is the world into which the two protagonists are thrown. At first glance, it is a perfect world. It is paradise on earth. There is neither pollution nor unemployment. Carnal food is just as frowned upon as physical closeness. Distancing wherever you look. Everything is hygienic. Everything is sterile. Even the unappetizing bowel movement works without toilet paper. The use of swear words is punishable by law. Finally, no more hate speech. People greet each other with the words "Gentle greetings". Everyone loves each other. Everyone is the same. They know what's coming. Others are more equal. The world of 2032, perfect at first glance, turns out to be a pure dictatorship. The Garden of Eden outlined in this science fiction film reminds me of another Garden of Eden. This paradise is known to politically interested people as Agenda 2030. The UN's 17 sustainability goals bear a striking resemblance to the brave new world in the thirty-year-old science fiction film Demolition Man.
WarGames - War games! A movie from 1983, when there was no Internet. Even computers were still in their infancy. In this analog world, a young tech-savvy boy named David hacks into the adaptive computer WOPR out of curiosity and accidentally triggers a real war game. WOPR stands for "War Operation Plan Response", a kind of first artificial intelligence of the US Army during the Cold War. For the AI, it was just a game like any other game. A war game that had to be won at all costs. The AI successfully fights back against actual generals and against the assembled human intelligence, which tries to convince the computer that the whole thing isn't real. The world is on the brink of a third nuclear world war. Ukraine - sorry - the USA absolutely had to win this game. At the last moment, the world is saved by David. The little boy lets WOPR play the children's game Tic-Tac-Toe alongside the game World War. The computer recognizes that both games are unwinnable.
"A strange game. The only winning move is not to play."
The science fiction movie ends well. At the end, WOPR asks its visibly relieved creator Stephen Falken "How about a nice game of chess?" How about a game of chess?
A good idea. After so much science fiction, some reality with a relaxing game of chess. The World Championship is currently taking place. Ian Nepomniachtchi against Ding Liren. A Russian is playing against a Chinese. Apart from Russia and China, the best chess players now come from India. Human intelligence seems to be well developed here. Admittedly: The best chess machines such as AlphaZero are still produced in the West.
Many a truth that cannot be questioned is pure science fiction. Some science fiction becomes pure reality. Will it end well? I find it difficult to predict.
Articles identified by name do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the publisher.
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4 Responses
Real VR given by the gods for all people.
Very well recognized and formulated, Mr. Löcke.
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The central problem seems to me to be that today's press and media are not prepared to write about observable reality themselves if it contradicts scientific speculation. WELT wrote in early 2023: "Engels takes a rather positive view of professional journalism. Unlike in the USA, media in Europe are increasingly refraining from 'balancing' between the majority opinion of science and 'marginal' voices. 'That is a very important point,' said the sociologist. In contrast, there is a lot of fake news on social media, with authors from the right-wing spectrum in particular spreading inaccurate reports." (s. https://www.welt.de/wissenschaft/article243538399/1-5-Grad-Ziel-nicht-realistisch-sagen-Wissenschaftler.html?source=puerto-reco-2_ABC-V18.0.C_interaction_terms)
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Below are some closely related examples:
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It is therefore clear that the current phase II (green equalization curve) of probable man-made climate change began in the 1960s: https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1025144887954497536
The beginning of the so-called Terrestrial Stilling is also around the same time: s. https://ec.europa.eu/research-and-innovation/en/horizon-magazine/stilling-global-wind-speeds-slowing-1960
The fact is: less wind means less precipitation distribution with the consequence of heavy rainfall events such as in the Ahr valley and less evaporation over the area. At the same time, evaporation is the most important cooling effect of the earth's surface (see Trenbert diagram).
Are the temporal and causal relationships pure coincidence? Hardly.
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There is a kink in the climate change curve* in the DWD diagram at around the time when large-scale industrial use of wind energy was introduced in Germany/Europe (see https://twitter.com/RoHeAss/status/1648225144970641413/photo/1)
Is the temporal and spatial connection pure coincidence? Hardly.
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Europe is particularly affected by heat and drought: https://www.msn.com/de-de/finanzen/top-stories/klima-temperaturen-in-europa-steigen-schneller-als-auf-jedem-anderen-kontinent/vi-AA1a70TN?ocid=winp2fptaskbarhover&cvid=3c7dee5dfacb4d07b6807cd3eb306073&ei=16#comments&commentId=dd0f4bab-f89e-4282-922b-8f2d645f0086
The following correlations should actually be common knowledge:
Nowhere in the world are there more wind turbines in a small area than in Europe or even Germany. Two effects of the massive industrial use of wind energy are causing drought (and therefore heat):
1. first impact of the air layers after long distances over unobstructed seas and oceans on wind turbines as artificially created obstacles, e.g. offshore wind farms, or artificially raised mountains with the consequences:
the air masses must rise according to the continuity condition with the consequence of increased rainfall in coastal areas and drought inland.
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2. repeated encounters with inland wind farms mix the lower air layers and thus prevent a pronounced stratification of the lower air layers, the most important prerequisite for the so-called "high thermals" in general. This ensures that moist air masses rise and rain down, especially in summer (see Mahlke, Holger: "Mechanismen der Auslösung hochreichender Konvektion im südwestdeutschen Mittelgebirgsraum", KIT Scientific Publishing, Karlsruhe 2017, p. 4)
Consequence: Drought in the deep inland
Are the temporal, spatial and causal relationships a coincidence? Hardly.
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All these examples show. When the obvious collides with the current theories and speculation surrounding climate change, science, the press/media, politics and society find it difficult to acknowledge facts and report objectively. The obvious fact that Arctic ice and glaciers around the world are melting due to more heat and not directly due to more CO2, is seamlessly transformed into proof of the CO2 thesis, even though this could also be used to prove the Stilling thesis. As the wind in Germany has also decreased in the period of exorbitant climate change since around 1990 shown above (see http://www.iwr.de/wind/wind/windindex/index.html), everything actually fits together like a big mosaic with the Stilling thesis. However, none of this fits in with the lucrative speculation surrounding climate change and climate protection and the CO2 avoidance strategies that are now pervasive. As shown, it is not unlikely that parts of a misunderstood climate protection strategy are counterproductive.
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If the researchers were to travel to the arid deserts (Sahara, Atacama, ....) instead of the Arctic, they would probably quickly realize that the so-called climate sensitivity of CO2 is probably far lower than previously assumed and that decreasing wind or evaporation is another cause of man-made climate change that cannot be negated per se. This is because the air in deserts is known to cool down extremely at night. The insulating effect attributed to CO2 should therefore result in an extreme rise in temperatures at night. However, this disproportionate rise in temperature is not reflected in NASA's measurements of global climate change. On the contrary, climate change is rather underrepresented in the dry deserts of the earth.
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It seems, Mr. Löcke, that you have once again hit the nail on the head with your observations. Life experience tells us that whenever society tends towards defamation and exclusion instead of a democratic discourse with facts and arguments (cf. corona and climate change), something is rotten in the state. This seems to be particularly true for parts of science, because exclusion and defamation do not fit in with free science or the Enlightenment and are therefore rather atypical of the behavior of serious researchers.
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*The diagram published in WELT contains only a verbal indication of the time span, but unfortunately no time axis. The time axis was subsequently introduced on the basis of the specified time span. The possibly resulting minor temporal inaccuracies do not alter the correlation shown.
Dear Mr. Löcke, thank you very much. I wish I could put our reality into such apt words. I have long since questioned the so-called experts.
Yours sincerely
B. K.
Yes, Mr. Löcke, I can only confirm that. I recently had a telephone conversation with a former colleague. Somehow we came across Sciene's fiction. He said to me, yes, I know you don't like movies like that. But he said, if you take a closer look, you'll know what's planned. I had to agree with him.